Celina Home Values
Texas
Celina Market Snapshot
| Active 1,341 listings | New 236 30 days | Closed 144 30 days | Pending 81 30 days | Supply 9.1 months | Absorption 4.3% monthly | Over List 2.9% sold above | Under List 68.2% sold below | Concessions 64.6% % of solds | Avg Concession $14,112 seller paid |
Source: NTREIS MLS • Excludes leases • Oct 2025
Celina Market Trends
Celina's Builder Boom Has Stalled
Celina sits at the northern edge of Collin County where cotton fields are giving way to master-planned communities at a pace few Texas cities can match. The city's population has more than tripled in the past five years, driven by new-construction subdivisions stretching along the US-289 corridor. Prosper ISD and Celina ISD serve the area's growing families, and a wave of retail and dining development is chasing rooftops. But the infrastructure of a small town is straining under the weight of a suburb that arrived almost overnight, and the housing market is now reflecting that overextension.
Closed sales in Celina averaged roughly $197 per square foot this quarter, a few dollars below Collin County's broader $203 per-square-foot pace, based on MLS data for July 2026 closings in Celina. Yet the median sale price, near $532,000, ran about twelve percent above the county's roughly $475,000 midpoint, underscoring that this valuation gap reflects Celina's price tier rather than exceptional per-square-foot demand. Sellers gave back close to six and a half cents on the dollar at closing here, versus roughly three cents countywide, and homes spent about two months on market before closing — nearly double the county's typical pace. Roughly two-thirds of Celina sales carried concessions, compared with roughly six in ten across Collin County overall.
Celina's pipeline confirms the same buyer-tilted gap suggested by its closed-sale pace: months of supply here runs roughly eight and a half months, well above Collin County's six-month mark. Celina's active listings account for about one in seven homes for sale across the county, yet its pending contracts represent less than one in eleven of the county total — a share meaningfully smaller than its inventory footprint would predict. New listings kept arriving at a pace comparable to the broader county trend, so the imbalance traces to slower contract conversion rather than a burst of new supply.
Market Updates
Closed sales in Celina averaged roughly $197 per square foot this quarter, a few dollars below Collin County's broader $203 per-square-foot pace, based on MLS data for July 2026 closings in Celina. Yet the median sale price, near $532,000, ran about twelve percent above the county's roughly $475,000 midpoint, underscoring that this valuation gap reflects Celina's price tier rather than exceptional per-square-foot demand. Sellers gave back close to six and a half cents on the dollar at closing here, versus roughly three cents countywide, and homes spent about two months on market before closing — nearly double the county's typical pace. Roughly two-thirds of Celina sales carried concessions, compared with roughly six in ten across Collin County overall.
Celina's pipeline confirms the same buyer-tilted gap suggested by its closed-sale pace: months of supply here runs roughly eight and a half months, well above Collin County's six-month mark. Celina's active listings account for about one in seven homes for sale across the county, yet its pending contracts represent less than one in eleven of the county total — a share meaningfully smaller than its inventory footprint would predict. New listings kept arriving at a pace comparable to the broader county trend, so the imbalance traces to slower contract conversion rather than a burst of new supply.
Nearly seven in ten Celina closings included seller-paid concessions averaging roughly $14,700 — the highest concession rate recorded in the trailing twelve months — based on MLS data for June 2026 closings in Celina. That pattern signals sellers are increasingly absorbing buyer costs to clear inventory, even as price per square foot held near $195. Sellers received just under ninety-three cents on the dollar at closing, and roughly seven in ten sales settled below the original list price. The median closed price came in near $527,000, with homes averaging about 76 days on market before transferring.
Supply in Celina is running at roughly eight and a half months relative to the recent closing pace — still firmly in buyer-paced territory, though down modestly from the nine-plus months recorded over the trailing year. Pending contracts represent fewer than one in six active listings, a ratio that points to continued slow absorption. New listing flow has remained steady, adding roughly 1,070 properties over the period, which keeps the inventory ceiling in place and gives buyers time to evaluate without competitive pressure.
At roughly $193 per square foot, Celina's closed-sale valuations sit about sixteen percent below where they stood twelve months prior — a shift that stands out even within a softening North Texas market, based on MLS data for recent closings in Celina. Sellers conceded close to eight cents on the dollar, and nearly seven in ten transactions included seller-paid concessions averaging roughly $14,000. The typical home spent about three months on market before closing, with nearly three out of four sales landing below the original list price. The median closed price settled near $519,000.
Supply in Celina is running at roughly nine months relative to recent closing pace, well into territory associated with deliberate, buyer-paced negotiations. Pending activity accounts for less than a quarter of active listings, a ratio that suggests absorption remains slow. Steady new listing flow has kept inventory from tightening, and the extended days-on-market pattern in closed sales reinforces that properties are sitting longer before reaching agreement.
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Market data last updated Aug 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CDT · Editorial updated Jul 14, 2026, 7:07 AM CDT
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