Aubrey Home Values

While Denton County closings averaged $203 per square foot this quarter, Aubrey settled lower at $175 — a gap of roughly 14% that has held rather than closed, based on MLS data for 2026-07 closings in Aubrey. Homes here also took longer to sell, with the typical closing running roughly 41 days against the county's 31, and the median sale price of about $343K trailed the county's $448K by nearly a quarter, down close to 11% from a year earlier. Sellers gave up more ground too: close to three in four transactions carried a concession, well above the county's three in five, though the typical seller still recouped near 97 cents on the dollar, a modest gain from a year ago.

The pipeline shows Aubrey keeping pace with the broader county on inventory even as pricing lags: months of supply near 5.6 sits just under the county's 5.9, a rare category where the city isn't trailing. Pending contracts, though, are absorbing new listings more slowly here — roughly one in ten active listings has a contract pending, versus about one in eight countywide — a modest gap that aligns with the longer time-on-market showing up in recent closings. New listing activity has kept pace with demand rather than accelerating past it, leaving the supply-demand balance roughly steady heading into late summer.

The negotiation gap between list and sale prices in Aubrey has narrowed this quarter, with sellers recouping nearly 97 cents on the dollar at close — a two-cent improvement over the trailing twelve-month average. Based on MLS data for 2026-06 closings in Aubrey, the median closed price settled near $338K, and price per square foot held near $175. The concession picture remains heavy: nearly three in four transactions carried a seller contribution averaging close to $10,000. The share of buyers who closed under list fell to roughly 45%, down from about 59% over the prior year — a shift that gives sellers modest but not decisive ground.

Active listings in Aubrey climbed to roughly 646 — a 14% increase from the prior month — while pending contracts held near 140, keeping the pending-to-active ratio at about one in five. With months of supply sitting near six, the pipeline continues to favor buyers who have the patience to negotiate. New listing volume of just over 500 units over the quarter shows supply is being replenished at a steady pace, and the absorption rate gives no signal of a tightening market heading into mid-summer.

Aubrey's per-square-foot value has settled near $174 in recent closings, roughly 13% below the broader Denton County median — a gap that reflects the city's newer, larger-footprint inventory rather than distress. Based on MLS data for May 2026 closings in Aubrey, the median closed price has tracked around $334K, down roughly 6% from the trailing twelve-month average and off about 11% year over year. Sellers are recouping close to 97 cents on the dollar in recent transactions, a modest improvement over the annual average, though nearly three in four closings still carried a concession averaging around $10,200. About half of buyers closed at or below list price.

The supply picture in Aubrey has loosened compared to the prior year, with roughly six months of inventory on hand — down from 7.3 months over the trailing twelve months, suggesting the market may be finding a floor. Pending contracts represent about 135 transactions against an active pool of 567 listings, a pending-to-active ratio that points to measured absorption rather than urgency. New listings have been entering at a steady pace, keeping inventory elevated and giving the pipeline limited reason to tighten quickly.