Aubrey Home Values
Texas
Aubrey Market Snapshot
| Active 693 listings | New 157 30 days | Closed 91 30 days | Pending 12 30 days | Supply 7.7 months | Absorption 4% monthly | Over List 7.2% sold above | Under List 57.4% sold below | Concessions 72.8% % of solds | Avg Concession $9,465 seller paid |
Source: NTREIS MLS • Excludes leases • Sep 2026
Aubrey Market Trends
Aubrey's Two Markets Hiding in One Zip Code
Aubrey sits at the northern edge of the DFW growth corridor, where open ranch land meets fresh subdivision plats at a pace few Texas towns can match. The city has absorbed wave after wave of new construction — master-planned communities with amenity centers, pocket parks, and model homes still flying flags along US 377. Schools in the Aubrey and Denton ISDs anchor the family draw, while downtown Aubrey keeps a stubborn small-town streak alive with its feed store, taqueria row, and Friday-night football culture. It is a place still deciding what it wants to become, and buyers are placing their bets accordingly.
Aubrey's price per square foot settled near $175 this quarter, nearly 13% below Denton County's $202 — a valuation gap that has held rather than narrowed, based on MLS data for September 2026 closings in Aubrey. The median sale price of roughly $337K trailed the county's $445K by close to a quarter and remained down about 12% from year-ago levels, continuing the decline that has run since spring. Closings here also took longer to reach the table, a typical 41 days against the county's 35, while concessions touched nearly three in four Aubrey sales — well above the roughly three in five share seen countywide — even as sellers still recouped about 96 cents on the dollar at close.
Aubrey's pipeline shows a softer absorption pace than the broader county this quarter. Months of supply near 6.8 sit noticeably above Denton County's 5.8, and the pending-to-active ratio — roughly one contract pending for every 27 active listings — runs well below the county's rate of about one in sixteen. New listings kept pace with Aubrey's existing inventory but at a slower relative clip than countywide, leaving fewer contracts working through a comparatively larger pool of active homes as the market heads into fall.
Market Updates
Aubrey's price per square foot settled near $175 this quarter, nearly 13% below Denton County's $202 — a valuation gap that has held rather than narrowed, based on MLS data for September 2026 closings in Aubrey. The median sale price of roughly $337K trailed the county's $445K by close to a quarter and remained down about 12% from year-ago levels, continuing the decline that has run since spring. Closings here also took longer to reach the table, a typical 41 days against the county's 35, while concessions touched nearly three in four Aubrey sales — well above the roughly three in five share seen countywide — even as sellers still recouped about 96 cents on the dollar at close.
Aubrey's pipeline shows a softer absorption pace than the broader county this quarter. Months of supply near 6.8 sit noticeably above Denton County's 5.8, and the pending-to-active ratio — roughly one contract pending for every 27 active listings — runs well below the county's rate of about one in sixteen. New listings kept pace with Aubrey's existing inventory but at a slower relative clip than countywide, leaving fewer contracts working through a comparatively larger pool of active homes as the market heads into fall.
A surge in closings — roughly 325 transactions over the trailing quarter — gives Aubrey's price signals unusual weight this month, based on MLS data for 2026-08 closings in Aubrey. Price per square foot settled near $178, a touch above the trailing-year average of $177, while the median sale price of roughly $350K remained about 11% below year-ago levels. The typical closing took about six weeks to reach the table, a bit quicker than the annual norm. Concessions still touched roughly seven in ten sales, though the list-to-sale gap held tight — closings landed within about three percent of the original asking price, even as under-list closings eased toward about half of transactions.
Months of supply in Aubrey compressed this quarter to a tighter reading than the trailing-year average, even as active inventory held essentially flat. Pending activity picked up alongside a steady flow of new listings, suggesting contracts are being written at a faster clip than earlier this year. Time-on-market signals point in the same direction, hinting at an absorption pace that keeps building as the market moves into fall — a pipeline story of quickening turnover rather than a supply glut.
While Denton County closings averaged $203 per square foot this quarter, Aubrey settled lower at $175 — a gap of roughly 14% that has held rather than closed, based on MLS data for 2026-07 closings in Aubrey. Homes here also took longer to sell, with the typical closing running roughly 41 days against the county's 31, and the median sale price of about $343K trailed the county's $448K by nearly a quarter, down close to 11% from a year earlier. Sellers gave up more ground too: close to three in four transactions carried a concession, well above the county's three in five, though the typical seller still recouped near 97 cents on the dollar, a modest gain from a year ago.
The pipeline shows Aubrey keeping pace with the broader county on inventory even as pricing lags: months of supply near 5.6 sits just under the county's 5.9, a rare category where the city isn't trailing. Pending contracts, though, are absorbing new listings more slowly here — roughly one in ten active listings has a contract pending, versus about one in eight countywide — a modest gap that aligns with the longer time-on-market showing up in recent closings. New listing activity has kept pace with demand rather than accelerating past it, leaving the supply-demand balance roughly steady heading into late summer.
The negotiation gap between list and sale prices in Aubrey has narrowed this quarter, with sellers recouping nearly 97 cents on the dollar at close — a two-cent improvement over the trailing twelve-month average. Based on MLS data for 2026-06 closings in Aubrey, the median closed price settled near $338K, and price per square foot held near $175. The concession picture remains heavy: nearly three in four transactions carried a seller contribution averaging close to $10,000. The share of buyers who closed under list fell to roughly 45%, down from about 59% over the prior year — a shift that gives sellers modest but not decisive ground.
Active listings in Aubrey climbed to roughly 646 — a 14% increase from the prior month — while pending contracts held near 140, keeping the pending-to-active ratio at about one in five. With months of supply sitting near six, the pipeline continues to favor buyers who have the patience to negotiate. New listing volume of just over 500 units over the quarter shows supply is being replenished at a steady pace, and the absorption rate gives no signal of a tightening market heading into mid-summer.
Aubrey's per-square-foot value has settled near $174 in recent closings, roughly 13% below the broader Denton County median — a gap that reflects the city's newer, larger-footprint inventory rather than distress. Based on MLS data for May 2026 closings in Aubrey, the median closed price has tracked around $334K, down roughly 6% from the trailing twelve-month average and off about 11% year over year. Sellers are recouping close to 97 cents on the dollar in recent transactions, a modest improvement over the annual average, though nearly three in four closings still carried a concession averaging around $10,200. About half of buyers closed at or below list price.
The supply picture in Aubrey has loosened compared to the prior year, with roughly six months of inventory on hand — down from 7.3 months over the trailing twelve months, suggesting the market may be finding a floor. Pending contracts represent about 135 transactions against an active pool of 567 listings, a pending-to-active ratio that points to measured absorption rather than urgency. New listings have been entering at a steady pace, keeping inventory elevated and giving the pipeline limited reason to tighten quickly.
Zip Codes in Aubrey
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Market data last updated Oct 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CDT · Editorial updated Sep 22, 2026, 3:31 AM CDT
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