Tioga Home Values

While Grayson County's closed sales landed near $165 per square foot in the trailing quarter, Tioga closed noticeably higher, at roughly $230 -- a premium of nearly 40 percent, based on MLS data for 2026-09 closings in Tioga. Median sale price followed the same pattern, running about $343,000 against the county's roughly $282,000. The premium held even as annual prices in Tioga have pulled back close to twenty percent year over year, and closed transactions took about ten days longer to reach the settlement table than the county's median. With just fourteen closings this quarter, Tioga's small sample carries wide confidence intervals, but the price gap with the surrounding county has remained consistent for months.

Tioga's pipeline continues to carry more slack than Grayson County's overall market: months of supply stood near seventeen, well above the county's closer-to-thirteen-month pace, leaving the geo's absorption rate meaningfully behind its neighbors. Active inventory held near eighty homes while only three contracts were pending, a thin conversion rate even for a small market. New listings -- more than three dozen this quarter -- continued arriving faster than contracts could absorb them, extending a supply gap that has tracked wider than county-level norms for several months running.

For the third consecutive month, concession activity in Tioga held at an elevated level relative to the annual pace, based on MLS data for 2026-08 closings in Tioga. Close to four and a half in ten closings included a seller concession this quarter, well above the roughly three-in-ten rate over the trailing year, with the typical concession running near $11,000. Sellers gave back a little over a nickel on the dollar at closing, a slightly wider gap than the annual average. Price per square foot held near $230, off the trailing-year figure near $252, while eighteen homes closed in the quarter — a limited sample that still points toward sellers conceding more ground than earlier in the year.

New listings continued to outpace pending contracts by a wide margin in Tioga this quarter, with only a couple of contracts pending against an active pipeline holding near ninety homes — a gap that leaves sellers with little near-term reinforcement for asking prices. Months of supply eased somewhat from the annual pace but remained well above Grayson County's own benchmark, directionally suggesting the concession pressure showing up in closed data is unlikely to ease soon. With a moderate sample size, the pipeline signal reads as directional rather than definitive.

Nineteen homes closed in Tioga during the trailing quarter, a notable step up from the pace implied by the trailing annual figures, based on MLS data for 2026-07 closings in Tioga. With a sample still under two dozen transactions, the county's broader trend offers useful ballast: price per square foot slipped to roughly $230, well off the annual average near $252, even as it remained meaningfully above Grayson County's own benchmark. Sellers gave ground more often this quarter — better than four in ten closings included a concession, up sharply from the trailing-year rate — while days on market ticked modestly higher and buyers pulled back from under-list offers compared to the annual pattern.

Pending contracts in Tioga fell to just six in the latest quarter, down sharply from the pace suggested by trailing annual figures, even as active listings held steady near seventy-three. New listing activity eased only modestly, meaning the contract-signing pace is cooling faster than new supply is arriving. Months of supply improved to roughly eleven, still elevated but now tracking closer to Grayson County's own benchmark than it has in recent months — directionally suggesting the county's broader supply position, not a local anomaly, is shaping the pace of contracts in this limited sample.