Tioga Home Values
Texas
Tioga Market Snapshot
| Active 73 listings | New 10 30 days | Closed 7 30 days | Pending 1 30 days | Supply 11.5 months | Absorption 8.2% monthly | Over List 0% sold above | Under List 51.9% sold below | Concessions 26.9% % of solds | Avg Concession $10,672 seller paid |
Source: NTREIS MLS • Excludes leases • Jun 2026
Tioga Market Trends
Acreage and Arenas in North Texas Ranch Country
Tioga's active listings tell the story of a rural crossroads reinventing itself. Ranch-style homes on five-acre spreads with screened porches and updated interiors sit alongside equestrian properties featuring nine-stall barns, lighted arenas, and bull-tailing runs. Newer construction in subdivisions like Buck Creek Estates offers three-bedroom plans with granite kitchens and wood-burning fireplaces on third-acre cul-de-sac lots. Scattered through the Wild Rose Ranch development, nearly two-acre barndominium-ready tracts with utilities in place attract custom builders. Most resale homes date to the 2003-2018 era, with the first new-construction Craftsman builds now appearing from local builders like Red Gable Homes.
Concession activity in Tioga shifted sharply in the most recent quarter — more than half of all closings included seller concessions, with the typical concession running roughly $10,000, based on MLS data for 2026-06 closings in Tioga. Sellers gave back close to six cents on the dollar at closing, and not a single transaction closed above list price. With fewer than fifteen closings this quarter, individual deals carry outsized weight on these figures, but the directional signal is consistent: price per square foot landed near $208, down from the trailing annual average near $247, and annual prices have declined close to nine percent year over year. The data suggests sellers are making substantial adjustments to move properties in a market where more than half of buyers extracted a discount below list.
The supply picture in Tioga does little to relieve pressure on sellers heading into late summer. With roughly seventy active listings and only nine pending contracts, the absorption pace points to approximately fifteen months of supply — well above the level that would signal a balanced market. New listing activity over the most recent quarter added another two dozen homes to an already slow-moving pipeline, outpacing pending contracts by nearly three to one. Grayson County's own elevated supply position, while not as pronounced, suggests the headwinds are regional in character, meaning the concession environment visible in closed data is unlikely to ease quickly as long as the pipeline remains this lopsided.
Market Updates
Concession activity in Tioga shifted sharply in the most recent quarter — more than half of all closings included seller concessions, with the typical concession running roughly $10,000, based on MLS data for 2026-06 closings in Tioga. Sellers gave back close to six cents on the dollar at closing, and not a single transaction closed above list price. With fewer than fifteen closings this quarter, individual deals carry outsized weight on these figures, but the directional signal is consistent: price per square foot landed near $208, down from the trailing annual average near $247, and annual prices have declined close to nine percent year over year. The data suggests sellers are making substantial adjustments to move properties in a market where more than half of buyers extracted a discount below list.
The supply picture in Tioga does little to relieve pressure on sellers heading into late summer. With roughly seventy active listings and only nine pending contracts, the absorption pace points to approximately fifteen months of supply — well above the level that would signal a balanced market. New listing activity over the most recent quarter added another two dozen homes to an already slow-moving pipeline, outpacing pending contracts by nearly three to one. Grayson County's own elevated supply position, while not as pronounced, suggests the headwinds are regional in character, meaning the concession environment visible in closed data is unlikely to ease quickly as long as the pipeline remains this lopsided.
Tioga's price per square foot landed around $203 in the most recent quarter — notably above Grayson County's benchmark of roughly $167 — a premium that persisted even as sellers gave back nearly seven cents on the dollar at closing, based on MLS data for trailing closings in Tioga. The annual picture shows prices have declined close to nine percent year over year, and the list-to-sale gap widened in the recent quarter compared to the trailing annual average. With fewer than fifteen closings this quarter, individual transactions carry significant weight on these figures, but the directional signal — sellers making meaningful concessions — aligns with county-wide softening.
The pipeline in Tioga tells a cautious story heading into summer: with roughly seventy active listings and only nine pending contracts, the absorption rate points to an extended supply overhang that tracks above Grayson County's already-elevated months of supply. New listing activity over the recent quarter has outpaced pending activity by nearly three to one, adding pressure to an already slow-moving market. For a small market where a handful of contracts can shift the outlook month to month, the county-level trend of mounting supply provides useful context — Grayson's own inventory position remains elevated, suggesting the headwinds are regional, not just local.
Zip Codes in Tioga
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Market data last updated Jul 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CDT · Editorial updated Jun 26, 2026, 7:10 PM CDT
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