Keene Home Values
Texas
Keene Market Snapshot
| Active 96 listings | New 35 30 days | Closed 15 30 days | Pending 1 30 days | Supply 6.1 months | Absorption 5.2% monthly | Over List 5.8% sold above | Under List 57.7% sold below | Concessions 81.8% % of solds | Avg Concession $5,665 seller paid |
Source: NTREIS MLS • Excludes leases • Sep 2026
Keene Market Trends
New Builds Reshape a Small-Town Market
Keene's housing stock splits into two distinct worlds. D.R. Horton's Canyons subdivision is pumping out single-story, open-concept four-bedrooms in the high $200s to low $300s on compact lots, many available for quick move-in. Away from the subdivision, the older fabric tells a different story: mid-century ranches and 1970s-era homes on third-acre-plus lots, some with workshop space or multi-generational layouts. A handful of properties near Southwestern Adventist University pull double duty as rentals. Lot sizes swing from under 6,000 square feet in the new sections to well over an acre on legacy parcels.
A pickup in closings, 47 in the latest quarter against 41 a month earlier, gives Keene's velocity picture firmer footing, though homes still took about eight weeks to close, slower than the roughly 48-day pace of the past year. Based on MLS data for 2026-10 closings in Keene, price per square foot held near $160, essentially unchanged, and sellers received roughly 97 and a half cents on the list dollar. Concessions touched nearly nine in ten sales at an average near $6,400, while about one in ten closed above asking. With a moderate sample, the figures point directionally to more transactions at a slower pace.
Pending contracts in Keene slid to just 5 against 96 active listings, down from 8 contracts and 82 listings a month earlier, a sign of buyers hesitating. New listings accelerated to about 79 for the quarter, outrunning absorption, and supply drifted to just over six months, still tighter than Johnson County's nearly eight, though that reading rests on a thin contract base. Time-to-contract stretching past eight weeks reinforces the signal, pointing to a slower near-term pace as inventory builds.
Market Updates
A pickup in closings, 47 in the latest quarter against 41 a month earlier, gives Keene's velocity picture firmer footing, though homes still took about eight weeks to close, slower than the roughly 48-day pace of the past year. Based on MLS data for 2026-10 closings in Keene, price per square foot held near $160, essentially unchanged, and sellers received roughly 97 and a half cents on the list dollar. Concessions touched nearly nine in ten sales at an average near $6,400, while about one in ten closed above asking. With a moderate sample, the figures point directionally to more transactions at a slower pace.
Pending contracts in Keene slid to just 5 against 96 active listings, down from 8 contracts and 82 listings a month earlier, a sign of buyers hesitating. New listings accelerated to about 79 for the quarter, outrunning absorption, and supply drifted to just over six months, still tighter than Johnson County's nearly eight, though that reading rests on a thin contract base. Time-to-contract stretching past eight weeks reinforces the signal, pointing to a slower near-term pace as inventory builds.
While Johnson County closings averaged near $175 per square foot this quarter, Keene continued to trade at a discount — settling around $160, a gap near 8% that has held steady rather than narrowing. Based on MLS data for 2026-09 closings in Keene, the discount didn't reflect weak seller footing: contracts settled near 98 cents on the list dollar, edging past the county's 96 cents, even as concessions touched almost nine in ten Keene sales versus roughly six in ten countywide, with the average payout near $6,600. About one in eight sales closed above asking and roughly half closed under list. With 41 closings this quarter, the moderate sample points to a persistent, county-relative pricing gap.
Keene's pipeline shows a similar divergence from Johnson County: at six months of supply, the market sits noticeably tighter than the county's nearly eight-month pace, even as pending contracts remain scarce at just 8 against 82 active listings. New listings kept flowing at about 63 for the quarter, keeping the pending-to-active ratio thin. Closed-sale duration has been lengthening in recent months, a velocity signal that complicates the tighter supply reading — inventory looks lean on paper, but buyers aren't converting into pending contracts at a pace that matches it.
Closed-sale duration in Keene stretched to about 67 days this quarter, up from roughly 50 days over the trailing year and a reversal from the brisker pace of early summer. Based on MLS data for 2026-08 closings in Keene, that slower pace came without price softening: price per square foot held near $161, essentially flat against the $159 annual figure, and the share of homes closing above asking rose to roughly one in eight, up from about one in twenty a year ago, while the under-list share eased to a little over half of all deals. With only about 30 closings this quarter, the limited sample suggests buyers are taking longer to commit without gaining much ground on price.
Against Johnson County's roughly eight-month supply pace, Keene's crept slightly higher to around eight and a half — a modest divergence that lines up with the pipeline's broader signal of cooling absorption. Pending contracts fell sharply to just 6, even as new listings held near the trailing pace at about 55 for the quarter, meaning the pullback reflects fewer buyers committing rather than a shortage of homes to choose from. That combination points toward continued lengthening in time-to-contract over the near term.
Sellers in Keene held firmer on price this quarter even as concessions, when granted, grew costlier. Based on MLS data for 2026-07 closings in Keene, just over half of transactions closed below asking, down from nearly six in ten a year ago, while sellers captured roughly 97 cents of every listed dollar — a touch ahead of Johnson County's pace. Concessions still touched roughly seven in ten Keene deals, well above the county's six in ten, and the average payout jumped to nearly $6,500, up from about $5,100 across the trailing year. With only about 31 closings this quarter, the limited sample suggests firming resolve on price offset by costlier concessions where buyers retained leverage.
Pending contracts in Keene fell to just 10 — the third straight month of decline, from 17 in May to 15 in June — even as active listings held flat near 77. New listings also slipped to about 43 for the quarter, running below the trailing pace. Months of supply held near seven and a half, in line with Johnson County's seven-month pace. The shrinking pending count suggests the firmer pricing showing up in closed sales reflects a smaller, more committed buyer pool rather than broadening demand — a pipeline that could complicate sellers' improved footing if absorption doesn't recover.
Days on market jumped from roughly 41 over the full year to about 54 days in the most recent quarter — a meaningful deceleration in how quickly Keene homes moved from list to close. Based on MLS data for 2026-06 closings in Keene, price per square foot settled near $153, a step down from the trailing annual pace near $158. Sellers gave back roughly three and a half cents on the dollar at closing, and not a single transaction in the latest quarter closed above asking — a shift from the 5% of deals that exceeded list price over the prior twelve months. With the limited sample of about 32 closings, these figures are directional, but the trend points toward a market where buyers are extracting more time and concessions before committing.
The pipeline tells a sharper story: pending contracts in Keene dropped to roughly 15 against 65 active listings — a pending-to-active ratio that signals near-term absorption has slowed substantially. New listings over the quarter numbered about 35, keeping supply relatively stable, but the gap between available inventory and committed buyers has widened. At just over six months of supply, Keene sits slightly below Johnson County's pace, though the low pending count raises the question of whether that gap will close in the coming months.
At roughly $155 per square foot, Keene closed about 9% below Johnson County's figure near $171, a gap that directionally suggests a structural price discount relative to the broader county market. Based on MLS data for recent closings in Keene, deals settled near 97 cents on the dollar against list price, yet the concession rate stood at roughly 93%—far above Johnson County's 61%—indicating widespread seller contributions even when headline pricing held firm. Closed transactions averaged around 58 days on market, up from the 42-day pace over the prior twelve months, and the limited sample size points toward measurable softening at the transaction level.
The pipeline in Keene shows 17 pending transactions against 67 active listings—a pending-to-active ratio that points to limited near-term absorption. At roughly 6.9 months of supply, conditions sit somewhat below Johnson County's 7.9 months, suggesting Keene carries relatively less inventory pressure than the broader county. New listing flow has continued at a moderate pace. With closed-sale durations trending into the high-50-day range, the forward picture directionally suggests continued softness in transaction velocity over the near term.
Zip Codes in Keene
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Market data last updated Oct 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CDT · Editorial updated Oct 10, 2026, 7:28 PM CDT
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