76433 Home Values
76433 Market Snapshot
| Active 80 listings | New 13 30 days | Closed 9 30 days | Pending 1 30 days | Supply 12 months | Absorption 6.3% monthly | Over List 1.3% sold above | Under List 49.4% sold below | Concessions 21.5% % of solds | Avg Concession $12,777 seller paid |
Source: NTREIS MLS • Excludes leases • Jun 2026
76433 Market Trends
Hill Country Acreage Draws New Construction
The 76433 corridor stretches across the rolling limestone hills of eastern Erath County, anchored by the Mountain Lakes Ranch community in Bluff Dale. Housing stock splits cleanly: vacant one-to-five-acre lots line the quieter inlets of Beacon Lake, while finished homes sit on groomed acreage with metal-roof farmhouses and stone-accented builds.
The average concession in 76433 nearly doubled this quarter, climbing to roughly $23,000 from an annual baseline near $11,800 — the clearest sign yet of where seller leverage stands this summer. Price per square foot edged up to about $246, above the trailing twelve-month figure, but that gain came alongside sellers giving back close to three and a half cents on the dollar at closing, continuing the concession pattern flagged last month. Just over half of closings landed below list price and none closed above asking, based on MLS data for 2026-06 closings in 76433. With only 17 sales this quarter, the figures carry a wide margin, but larger seller giveaways have now held for a second straight month.
Pending contracts in 76433 thinned further this quarter, sitting at just 8 against 80 homes actively listed — a gap that has only widened since last month's already-sparse pipeline reading. New listings continued arriving at a pace of 44 for the quarter, keeping fresh supply ahead of what limited buyer demand is absorbing. Months of supply eased to roughly fourteen, down from the nearly nineteen cited last month but still deep in oversupplied territory, suggesting sellers will keep needing to sweeten terms to convert lookers into contracts through the next cycle.
Market Updates
The average concession in 76433 nearly doubled this quarter, climbing to roughly $23,000 from an annual baseline near $11,800 — the clearest sign yet of where seller leverage stands this summer. Price per square foot edged up to about $246, above the trailing twelve-month figure, but that gain came alongside sellers giving back close to three and a half cents on the dollar at closing, continuing the concession pattern flagged last month. Just over half of closings landed below list price and none closed above asking, based on MLS data for 2026-06 closings in 76433. With only 17 sales this quarter, the figures carry a wide margin, but larger seller giveaways have now held for a second straight month.
Pending contracts in 76433 thinned further this quarter, sitting at just 8 against 80 homes actively listed — a gap that has only widened since last month's already-sparse pipeline reading. New listings continued arriving at a pace of 44 for the quarter, keeping fresh supply ahead of what limited buyer demand is absorbing. Months of supply eased to roughly fourteen, down from the nearly nineteen cited last month but still deep in oversupplied territory, suggesting sellers will keep needing to sweeten terms to convert lookers into contracts through the next cycle.
The negotiation gap in 76433 widened noticeably in the most recent quarter, with sellers giving back nearly five cents on the dollar at closing — a measurable step down from the trailing annual average. Based on MLS data for 2026-05 closings in 76433, roughly one in three transactions carried a seller concession, with the average concession amount roughly doubling compared to the twelve-month baseline. Two-thirds of homes sold below list price, and no closings exceeded asking, signaling that buyer resistance is setting the terms. With fewer than fifteen closings this quarter, price signals carry wide confidence intervals, but the directional shift in concession behavior is consistent across the limited sample.
The pipeline in 76433 reflects a market where supply far outpaces buyer activity. With nearly nineteen months of supply on hand and pending contracts having dropped sharply relative to the annual pace, the absorption rate suggests demand has thinned considerably. New listing activity continues to enter the market even as closed volume contracts — a dynamic that typically widens the supply cushion further. With fewer than a dozen pending contracts in the current snapshot, near-term closing volume is likely to remain limited, reinforcing the conditions that gave buyers room at the negotiating table.
See what's happening around your home.
Every month, we'll send you real MLS data — every sale, new listing, and price change near your address, plus market trends for your zip code, city, and county. No guesswork. Just the same data agents use.
Free forever. When you're ready to list, we're here.
Market data last updated Jul 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CDT · Editorial updated Jun 30, 2026, 3:05 PM CDT
Selling in 76433?
Same MLS exposure. Same buyer pool. Thousands less in commissions.
See How It Works →